Lemos Surprising Underdog in UFC Fight Night vs Jandiroba
The Best Way To Play the Lemos vs Jandiroba UFC Odds
women’s strawweight UFC main event this Saturday at UFC Apex.
- The Lemos vs Jandiroba UFC odds have Jandiroba at -130 to beat Lemos (Ev), which is a surprising line.
A close fight is expected between the experienced fighters, who have a combined 73 years, making it one of the oldest main events in history.
Dern Victory Stands in Good Stead
Lemos comes off a win over Mackenzie Dern, which should be a good form guide against Jandiroba.
The 37-year-old Brazilian is 14-3-1, so she doesn’t lose often, and her UFC next fight could be her best.
Lemos didn’t have to do much to beat Dern at UFC 298, but she got the controversial decision to go her way. She landed 41 significant strikes compared to Dern’s meek 21. Additionally, she completed both of her takedowns and that likely gave her the edge.
A win is a win in the eyes of Lemos, who lost to strawweight champion Weili Zhang in one of the more one-sided fights we have ever seen.
Zhang unloaded on Lemos, posting 163 significant strikes compared to 24 from Lemos, and she was taken down six times.
“I see myself submitting her. I truly believe that,” Lemos said before the fight. “People think she will try to take me down. I think she might stand and trade with me, or she really might take me down, but we’ll surprise her with my jiu-jitsu in case that happens.”
That didn’t happen, however, we love that Lemos bounced back to beat Dern, which wasn’t an easy fight against an up-and-coming fighter.
Her UFC odds are too good to overlook, and we don’t think she’s getting the respect she deserves.
The Lemos vs Jandiroba UFC odds have her at even money, and she could firm to around -110 on fight night.
Jandiroba Rising in the Ranks
The 36-year-old comes off impressive wins over Loopy Godinez and Marina Rodriguez, so she’s beating the contenders. She now faces a much more serious opponent in Lemos, and there is good betting with UFC predictions.
Jandiroba was a little lucky to get past Rodriguez, but judges often consider takedowns to be the difference, and although we don’t agree, she landed three of them.
Rodriguez landed more strikes, so Jandiroba will look to take Lemos to the ground.
Godinez also landed more significant strikes, but she was taken down twice. Judges put too much emphasis on takedowns, so Lemos will have to be careful of being taken to the canvas.
Jandiroba is confident of getting through Lemos and earning a UFC title shot.
“It’s a significant phase in my career, fighting another top Brazilian contender. It underlines the strength of Brazilian women in MMA” Jandiroba said. “A victory here should ideally place me as a top contender for the title, ready to challenge champions like Zhang Weili.”
There is an air of confidence around Jandiroba, which worries us when backing Lemos. However, class is permanent with Lemos, who could show Jandiroba why she has fought for a title.
Jandiroba has looked impressive with her takedowns, so we’ll give her that. If she gets the fight to the floor, it could be all over for Lemos, who will look to keep it standing and engage in a lengthy fight.
Backing Lemos and the Over
Lemos is a grinder, and we think she can punch Jandiroba for five rounds and win by decision with the Lemos vs Jandiroba UFC odds.
The current total rounds are 2.5, which bettors have backed into -180, and we’re not surprised by the money coming for the over.
We’re happy to parlay the over with Lemos winning at even money. She is a classier fighter, and although Zhang dominated her, most fighters who face the Chinese champion suffer the same result.
Beating Dern is a good form guide for this fight, and although Jandiroba is heading in the right direction, Lemos could stop her in her tracks on Saturday night in Las Vegas.
